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What's the real knowledge cutoff of an LLM — not the date it tells you, but the date its knowledge actually stops?I built ModelClock to measure it. It probes the model against a dataset of 6,917 software releases across 1,158 unique dates (719 usable probe dates after filtering) and runs a Bayesian search until the credible interval tightens.How it works: maintain a posterior over cutoff position. Each round, probe at the 25/50/75 quantiles. Mix in fake version numbers as decoys to catch overcla